Transfer Rumour Transfer Rumour Thread (January 2017 Window)

Discussion in 'City Talk' started by ThackleyBantam, Dec 29, 2016.

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  1. Vince McMahon

    Vince McMahon Megalomaniac
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    I founded it, I can't remember it ever been good?
     
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  2. J4CKO71

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    All things considered Ive decided I'd like us to take a punt on Charlie Wyke. Young with a good goal scoring record. I'm not fussed about some of these older lads who will want big money. Stick Jones and Wyke up front and if we don't go up this year we will next.
     
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  3. MC Bantam

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    Well said. Ditto!! Funny enough I feel the same way.....
     
  4. park bantam

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    Do we no how long he has got on his contract
     
  5. Heaton Bantam

    Heaton Bantam I`ll die before I`m 25, I lived the way I wanted
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    53, heterosexual, white male with two teenage daughters. totally black and white on ched - innocent therefore should be free to carry on his life. voted brexit. thinks corbyn is a dangerous loonie. fan of Hanson. once had a threesome.
     
  6. BCAFCstef

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  7. Archbishop of Bantambury

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  8. Lofty

    Lofty Bloody good shot sir!
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  9. BCAFCstef

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  10. PGB

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    Strange as the only 2 players linked with moves away were the only ones left out of their game last night. Clubs and official's tell you what they want you to hear
     
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  11. PGB

    PGB
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    With a clubs permission yes
     
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  12. J4CKO71

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    Yes but what do you think of the Checkatrade trophy?
     
  13. teddie7

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    He's not got Wi-Fi in his bunker.

    Oh ! Must have hard wired it.
     
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  14. park bantam

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    I thought Carlisle had made a bid for Liddle
     
  15. Tony Wilkinson

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  16. RogerTart

    RogerTart Usual Suspect
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    Are these two statements in any way connected?
     
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  17. Vince McMahon

    Vince McMahon Megalomaniac
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  18. PGB

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    Aaaaarrrrrrrrgggggggghhhhhhh
     
  19. WilsdenBantam

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  20. Bantamtim

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    I've seen this mentioned a few times about chance quality - the best thing that can be used to measure that is an Expected Goals measure (I'll call it xG from now on). Basically, this assigns a value to every shot based on the historical probability of it going in. For example, a penalty is 0.75xG because penalties are scored 75% of the time.

    This article is a little bit out of date (late November) but displays every regular forward in the top four divisions, showing their xG per 90 minutes based on chances created, and actual goals per 90 minutes. If a striker's ratio of goals per 90 minutes is better than their xG per 90 then they are finishing their chances well.

    https://experimental361.com/2016/11/24/visualising-each-clubs-attacking-threat/

    To sum up: in late November the shots being taken by Evans would, on average, get you around 0.39 goals per 90 minutes. Evans, however, was scoring at a rate of 0.34 per 90 minutes.

    For comparison to our strikers - Clarke was having shots worth 0.3 xG per 90, and scoring at the same rate. Hanson was getting chances at around 0.37xG per 90 and scoring at 0.32 per 90. Hiwula was having shots worth 0.27xG per 90 but scoring at 0.3 - actually outscoring the chances created for him at the time.

    Finally, our new signing Alex Jones was having shots worth 0.25xG per game but scoring at 0.5 goals per game.

    It's interesting that Evans was getting better chances than any of our strikers - we created far more than Chesterfield but the chances are shared around the team, whereas Chesterfield create almost solely for Evans.

    These stats will have changed since then - it was before Hiwula's run of games where he kept missing good chances (Walsall, Charlton etc) but I'd also expect Evans' stats to have got worse, as he's scored 1 goal in 7 league appearances since the article was written. It shows that he was no better at taking chances than any of our regular strikers (OK, very slightly better than Hanson) and much worse than Alex Jones.
     
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